The National Meteorological Service (SMN) reported that this Tuesday, September 15, very heavy localized rains of 50 to 75 millimeters are expected in regions of Baja California Sur, Sonora, Chihuahua, Sinaloa, Durango, Nayarit, Jalisco, and Colima.

The rainfall could be accompanied by electrical discharges, strong wind gusts, and possible hail, so there is a risk of increased river and stream levels, overflowing, flooding in low-lying areas, and landslides.

Where will it rain the hardest this September 15?

The states with a forecast of very heavy rains are:

  • Baja California Sur: centro y sur.
  • Sonora: este y sur.
  • Chihuahua: oeste.
  • Sinaloa: norte.
  • Durango: oeste.
  • Nayarit: norte y este.
  • Jalisco: suroeste.
  • Colima.

In addition, heavy rains of 25 to 50 millimeters are expected in areas of Coahuila, Zacatecas, Michoacán, Guerrero, Hidalgo, Puebla, Veracruz, Oaxaca, Quintana Roo, and Yucatán.

There will also be intervals of showers of 5 to 25 millimeters in Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosí, Aguascalientes, Guanajuato, Querétaro, the State of Mexico, Mexico City, Morelos, Tlaxcala, Chiapas, Tabasco, and Campeche.

In Nuevo León, isolated rains of 0.1 to 5 millimeters are forecast.

Will it rain in Mexico City this September 15?

For Mexico City, intervals of showers of 5 to 25 millimeters are expected, accompanied by possible electrical discharges and wind gusts.

Showers are also forecast for the State of Mexico, while the maximum temperature in the entity could reach between 30 and 35 degrees Celsius, particularly in the southwest.

Therefore, those who have outdoor activities during the September 15 celebrations should consider changes in meteorological conditions.

Will there be strong wind?

Yes. The SMN forecasts gusts of 50 to 70 km/h in Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, Oaxaca, Campeche, and Yucatán.

Gusts of 40 to 60 km/h are also expected in Baja California, Baja California Sur, Sonora, Durango, Zacatecas, San Luis Potosí, Aguascalientes, Jalisco, Guanajuato, Puebla, Veracruz, Tabasco, and Chiapas.

For Mexico City and the State of Mexico, gusts of 30 to 50 km/h are expected.

Why will there be so much rain in Mexico?

The meteorological conditions will be generated by several systems:

  • El monzón mexicano e inestabilidad atmosférica sobre el noroeste.
  • Canales de baja presión en distintas regiones del país.
  • Circulaciones ciclónicas y vaguadas en niveles medios y altos de la atmósfera.
  • La onda tropical número 39, ubicada al sur de Jalisco.

The SMN indicated that tropical wave 39 will stop affecting the country at the end of this Tuesday.

Is there any tropical cyclone that poses a danger to Mexico?

The SMN maintains vigilance over tropical depression Fifteen-E, located approximately 1,530 kilometers west-southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Baja California Sur.

However, due to its location and distance from the country, it does not pose a risk to Mexican territory.

Regarding Norbert, the system weakened to a tropical depression during the previous night and left the surveillance zone, so the SMN issued its final notice.

Heat will also continue in six states

Although there will be rains in a good part of the territory, this September 15 the heat wave will also continue in regions of:

  • Durango
  • Sinaloa
  • Chihuahua
  • Coahuila
  • Nuevo León
  • Tamaulipas

Maximum temperatures of 40 to 45 °C are forecast in areas of Baja California, Sonora, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, and Tamaulipas.

In Baja California Sur, San Luis Potosí, Jalisco, Colima, Morelos, Puebla, Veracruz, Guerrero, Oaxaca, Chiapas, Tabasco, Campeche, Yucatán, and Quintana Roo, maximums could reach between 35 and 40 °C.

Recommendations for the rains of September 15

Civil Protection recommends remaining attentive to official notices and avoiding travel through flooded areas, as the current can drag vehicles and pose a risk to people.

It is also recommended to:

  • Permanecer en un lugar seguro durante tormentas eléctricas.
  • Mantener libres de basura las coladeras y desagües.
  • Limpiar, si las condiciones lo permiten, azoteas y canales de desagüe.
  • Evitar cruzar calles o avenidas con corrientes de agua.
  • Extremar precauciones ante posibles deslaves y desbordamientos.
  • Mantenerse hidratado en las regiones donde continuará el calor.

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