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The Democratic opposition needs to snatch three seats in the House of Representatives and four in the Senate from the Republicans to take control of Congress in this Tuesday's midterm elections.
The elections have become, in practice, a referendum on the administration of President Donald Trump and will determine the composition of Congress during his last two years in the White House.
According to the poll aggregator Decision Desk HQ, Democrats have an 84% chance of winning control of the Lower House and a 64% chance of taking the Senate from Trump's party.
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Citizens are voting this Tuesday to renew the 435 seats in the House of Representatives. Its current composition is 219 Republicans, 214 Democrats, and two vacancies, so the opposition needs to take three seats from the conservatives to reach a majority.
Which states could stop supporting Trump? The territories where Democrats are looking to defeat Republicans
Approximately one-third of the 100 Senate seats are also up for renewal. To win the majority, Democrats need to retain those they are defending, especially in Michigan, where the race is tight, and take four of the six seats from Republicans that are considered the most contested: Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas.
These states, traditionally considered Republican strongholds, are showing a shift toward the Democrats according to polls, due to discontent over inflation, the unpopular war in Iran, and the impact of tariffs.
Despite the Democratic wave anticipated by many polls, analysts warn that surveys have tended to underestimate the mobilization of the Trumpist electorate. EFE
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