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Get your warm clothes ready and prepare your home with heating because winter is expected to arrive with intensity! Weather alerts indicate that the El Niño phenomenon will intensely cool part of the autumn and the entire winter in several regions of the northern hemisphere, including Mexico. Continue reading for the details.
The National Meteorological Service (SMN) of the National Water Commission (Conagua) predicts that the effects of El Niño will intensify towards winter in the northern hemisphere, "with a 63 percent probability that it will reach a 'very strong' category during the quarter from November 2026 to January 2027."
What does this mean? The commission points out that El Niño can favor colder conditions during the winter until the beginning of spring 2027; October and November are also expected to be quite cold months. During this period, there is also a possibility of more rainfall than usual.
For its part, data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts that El Niño will significantly alter winter weather in the United States, including the border with Mexico. It is estimated that there will be sudden changes in temperature, rain, storms, and snowfall between December and February.
Both Conagua and NOAA data predict that this phenomenon will be the strongest ever recorded, to the point of being classified as a Super El Niño.
What is El Niño?
The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a natural climate cycle that occurs when water temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean exceed normal levels, explain NOAA experts. This warming causes changes in the atmosphere that, in turn, trigger a domino effect on weather patterns in different parts of the world.
The phenomenon has the ability to modify rainfall and temperature patterns, increasing the risk of extreme weather, depending on the time of year, explains Conagua, such as intense cold in winter, heat waves and severe droughts in spring, or serious flooding in summer and part of autumn.
How will El Niño affect Mexico and the United States during the winter?
The data available so far indicate that El Niño will generate a warmer winter in the northern United States, while there will be a drier winter in the center; in the south, near the border with Mexico, there will be a colder winter, with rain, snow, and sleet.
Conagua agrees that El Niño could favor temperatures "below average in a large part of the center and north of the country" during the winter in Mexico, in addition to increasing the number of cold fronts and rainfall. For its part, in spring and summer, it could "lead to warm anomalies in various regions."
[Publicidad]